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Table 2 Fictitious evaluation of scenario representation for My-model

From: Quantitative scenario design with Bayesian model averaging: constructing consistent scenarios for quantitative models exemplified for energy economics

BMA model-dependent variable

Influences

Relevance of influence (PIP)

Influence modelled in My-model

Unconventional natural gas production

Natural gas price

0.99

Yes

Oil price

0.85

Yes

Conventional natural gas production

0.84

No

Electricity consumption

0.62

Yes

LNG infrastructure investment

0.59

No

Gas storage capacity

0.45

Yes

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Energy, Sustainability and Society

ISSN: 2192-0567

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