Estimating the supply of oilseed acreage for sustainable aviation fuel production: taking account of farmers’ willingness to adopt

McCollum, Conner J.; Ramsey, Steven M.; Bergtold, Jason S.; Andrango, Graciela

doi:10.1186/s13705-021-00308-2

Table 6 Estimated acreages across states and scenarios

From: Estimating the supply of oilseed acreage for sustainable aviation fuel production: taking account of farmers’ willingness to adopt

				Canola price ($/cwt)
State	Favorability	Wheat net returns	Cost share	5	10	15	20	25	30	35
Kansas	Low	Base	0%	0	0	7	2328	153,490	370,169	375,005
	Medium	25% Increase	15%	0	0	1	7143	341,225	374,997	375,049
	Medium	Base	15%	0	0	697	65,633	359,338	374,901	375,047
	Medium	25% Decrease	15%	0	170	7,515	175,179	365,288	374,819	375,041
	High	Base	0%	0	0	74	7922	263,596	373,638	375,034
	High	Base	15%	0	1	1,253	102,592	366,084	374,963	375,048
	High	Base	30%	0	191	20,896	323,999	374,528	375,041	375,050
North Dakota	Low	Base	0%	0	70	90,816	294,106	309,087	309,093	309,093
	Medium	25% Increase	15%	0	14	130,135	308,224	309,093	309,093	309,093
	Medium	Base	15%	0	495	166,319	308,275	309,093	309,093	309,093
	Medium	25% Decrease	15%	2	3794	197,603	308,259	309,091	309,093	309,093
	High	Base	0%	0	119	108,646	299,256	309,089	309,093	309,093
	High	Base	15%	0	663	175,449	308,482	309,093	309,093	309,093
	High	Base	30%	0	3623	248,114	309,063	309,093	309,093	309,093
Oklahoma	Low	Base	0%	0	36	382	3638	28,265	91,675	119,016
	Medium	25% Increase	15%	0	11	277	5623	61,633	117,585	122,917
	Medium	Base	15%	25	260	2574	21,276	82,667	117,319	122,569
	Medium	25% Decrease	15%	256	1589	9277	41,341	93,344	117,154	122,178
	High	Base	0%	0	68	675	6349	42,761	103,310	120,824
	High	Base	15%	32	362	3482	27,313	90,630	118,830	122,733
	High	Base	30%	191	1888	16,309	73,750	115,290	122,336	123,104
Oregon	Low	Base	0%	2	27	350	11,962	36,446	39,074	40,019
	Medium	25% Increase	15%	0	9	297	27,570	39,108	40,014	40,047
	Medium	Base	15%	9	120	1597	31,033	39,097	39,971	40,041
	Medium	25% Decrease	15%	73	548	4143	33,033	39,087	39,919	40,031
	High	Base	0%	5	74	931	21,370	38,534	39,921	40,037
	High	Base	15%	15	199	2508	33,633	39,459	40,000	40,043
	High	Base	30%	41	535	7898	37,486	39,828	40,031	40,047
South Dakota	Low	Base	0%	0	3	16,022	43,585	43,779	43,783	43,783
	Medium	25% Increase	15%	0	0	30,968	43,734	43,783	43,783	43,783
	Medium	Base	15%	0	52	39,603	43,754	43,783	43,783	43,783
	Medium	25% Decrease	15%	5	740	42,015	43,762	43,783	43,783	43,783
	High	Base	0%	0	17	31,647	43,743	43,783	43,783	43,783
	High	Base	15%	0	124	41,800	43,770	43,783	43,783	43,783
	High	Base	30%	1	1042	43,427	43,779	43,783	43,783	43,783
Washington	Low	Base	0%	10	115	1219	31,229	101,007	119,034	121,586
	Medium	25% Increase	15%	1	41	926	66,777	114,221	121,489	121,850
	Medium	Base	15%	44	457	4950	80,354	114,938	121,131	121,796
	Medium	25% Decrease	15%	307	1970	12,944	89,364	115,327	120,774	121,698
	High	Base	0%	31	319	3257	57,592	112,296	120,811	121,765
	High	Base	15%	75	757	7854	90,498	117,491	121,421	121,825
	High	Base	30%	175	1790	21,151	105,972	119,962	121,681	121,850

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ISSN: 2192-0567

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