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Table 3 Five scenarios established for the medium-term effects of COVID-19

From: Beyond short-term impact of COVID-19 on transport decarbonization: a scenario analysis of passenger and freight transport by mode in China, 2020–2030

 

No impact (Business-as usual scenario)

Minimal impact (L1)

Low impacts (L2)

Moderate impacts (L3)

Severe impacts (L4)

Behavioural changes

 Drop of passenger transport

0

1

2

3

3

Slower economic growth

 Drop of freight transport

0

0

1

2

3

Slower R&D

 Slower technological fixes

0

0

0

1

3

  1. “0” denotes “No impact”; “1” denotes “Slight impacts”; “2” denotes “Moderate impacts”; “3” denotes “Severe impacts”