Transport modes | Variable | Absolute value in 2021 | Annual change rate in different scenarios (%) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Business-as-usual scenario | L1 | L2 | L3 | L4 | |||
Passenger transport-road | Transport volume (pkm) | 362754 | − 4.6% | − 4.6%*(1–90%/3) | − 4.6%*(1–90%/3*2) | − 4.6%*(1–90%) | − 4.6%*(1–90%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | 31.70 | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4%/3 | 0% | |
Passenger transport-rail | Transport volume (million pkm) | 956781 | 4.0% | 4.0%*(1–44%/3) | 4.0%*(1–44%/3*2) | 4.0%*(1–44%) | 4.0%*(1–44%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | 6.11 | − 2.5% | − 2.5% | − 2.5% | -2.5%/3 | 0% | |
Passenger transport-air | Transport volume | 652903 | 9.3% | 9.3%*(1–58%/3) | 9.3%*(1–58%/3*2) | 9.3%*(1–58%) | 9.3%*(1–58%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | 87.69 | − 1.6% | − 1.6% | − 1.6% | − 1.6%/3 | 0% | |
Passenger transport-water | Transport volume (million pkm) | 3311 | 0.8% | 0.8%*(1–59%/3) | 0.8%*(1–59%/3*2) | 0.8%*(1–59%) | 0.8%*(1–59%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | 2.04 | − 3.3% | − 3.3% | − 3.3% | − 3.3%/3 | 0% | |
Freight transport-road | Transport volume (million tkm) | 6908765 | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0%*(1–22%/3) | 5.0%*(1–22%/3*2) | 5.0%*(1–22%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | 41.25 | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4%/3 | 0% | |
Freight transport-rail | Transport volume (million tkm) | 3319073 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3%*(1–10%/3) | 4.3%*(1–10%/3*2) | 4.3%*(1–10%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | 6.11 | -2.5% | − 2.5% | − 2.5% | − 2.5%/3 | 0% | |
Freight transport-air | Transport volume (million tkm) | 27773 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2%*(1–35%/3) | 0.2%*(1–35%/3*2) | 0.2%*(1–35%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | 974.32 | − 1.6% | − 1.6% | − 1.6% | − 1.6%/3 | 0% | |
Freight transport-water | Transport volume (million tkm) | 11557751 | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0%*(1–30%/3) | 5.0%*(1–30%/3*2) | 5.0%*(1–30%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | 6.13 | − 3.3% | − 3.3% | − 3.3% | − 3.3%/3 | 0% | |
City buses | Carbon emissions (million tons) | Carbon emissions (million tons): 8.5 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | − 4.3% | − 4.3% | − 4.3% | − 4.3%/3 | 0% | ||
Taxi | Transport volume (million pkm) | Carbon emissions (million tons):9.3 | 0.5% | 0.5%*(1–35%/3) | 0.5%*(1–35%/3*2) | 0.5%*(1–35%) | 0.5%*(1–35%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | -4.3% | -4.3% | -4.3% | -4.3%/3 | 0% | ||
Motorcycles | Transport volume (million pkm) | Carbon emissions (million tons): 11.8 | 3.4% | 3.4%*(1–35%/3) | 3.4%*(1–35%/3*2) | 3.4%*(1–35%) | 3.4%*(1–35%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4%/3 | 0% | ||
Metro | Transport volume (million pkm) | 230151 | 12.2% | 12.2%*(1–77%/3) | 12.2%*(1–77%/3*2) | 12.2%*(1–77%) | 12.2%*(1–77%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | 11.8 | − 2.7% | − 2.7% | − 2.7% | − 2.7%/3 | 0% | |
Private and institutional passenger vehicles | Transport volume (million pkm) | Carbon emissions (million tons): 514.5 | 7.8% | 7.8%*(1–35%/3) | 7.8%*(1–35%/3*2) | 7.8%*(1–35%) | 7.8%*(1–35%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/pkm) | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4%/3 | 0% | ||
Private and institutional trucks | Transport volume (million tkm) | Carbon emissions (million tons): 158.4 | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0%*(1–22%/3) | 5.0%*(1–22%/3*2) | 5.0%*(1–22%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4%/3 | 0% | ||
Rural vehicles | Transport volume (million tkm) | Carbon emissions (million tons): 23.9 | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0%*(1–22%/3) | 5.0%*(1–22%/3*2) | 5.0%*(1–22%) |
Carbon emission intensity (g/tkm) | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4% | − 3.4%/3 | 0% |